Hi All
We have all read earlier reports from within and from outside about the "potential" $2 million dollar price for a HX. I wonder if this will be the end model that is used once commercialisation is achieved ?
My opinion is that there are some real potential different possibilities, as opposed to a one off price for the machine.
Has any one considered this long term better scenario (In my opinion) :
Lets say somewhere around a Million bucks for the actual machine, but a royalty of say 20c-30c for every block laid, paid back to FBR over the "lets say" 10 year life cycle of each machine ? In this scenario, each machine is no longer worth 1-2 million, its more around the 10 million mark I would guess depending on laying rates over its lifespan, which changes absolutely everything that everybody (me included) thought about this companies worth.
You might think this is crazy, however stay with me here, Look at Xerox 10-15 years ago, They gave away the copier machines, but then charged 10-20c FOR EVERY single copy made on that machine over its lifecycle ! They didn't become a massive company by default and most of the market had to follow suit in the end.
We must remember, No final business model for FBR going to market has been signed off on yet, just potential models. If my scenario is adopted, this drastically changes the value of the KSA agreement as well as making it a safer business model for any earlier adopters in the Australian market ?
If this turns out to be a possible real scenario, the current market cap is peanuts ??
The boys at FBR are some very very clever little vegemite's and I reckon they would be looking at all possibilities to obtain the maximum returns for adopters of the machines as well as for all investors of which they are the largest holders ?
Regards
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