OVT 25.0% 0.3¢ ovanti limited

high dive with acute degree of difficulty, page-20

  1. 16,697 Posts.
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    For those who were fortunate enough to more than double their dough on the PMP deleveraging thesis, and who are looking to potentially replicate their gains, BOL appears to be a perfect analogue for PMP.

    Neither are good businesses by any stretch of the imagination; neither has favourable structural dynamics, and neither makes much in a way of accounting profits, but both generate significant free cash flows relative to their market values.

    Both have significant levels of borrowing, but both have boards/management that are mandated explicitly (either by their shareholders or their bankers) to harvest the surplus capital in order to reduce borrowings.

    Importantly, both trade at significant discounts to their NTA's and for both a program is in train to monetise their respective NTA's.

    With significant surplus capital generation (both organic and via NTA monetisation), both companies will see their Enterprise Values fall sharply, therefore providing significant scope for Market Cap increases as Net Debt is extinguished.

    The only difference is that PMP is already about halfway through the process, which is partly being recognised by the market, while for BOL the journey has just begun.
 
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