TCL 0.40% $12.32 transurban group

Inflexion point?, page-62

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    Thanks for this update. For what it is worth @Transversal as I note you also hold SYD. How do you think the relative value of TCL stacks up compared with Sydney Airports?

    @Galba

    On a 2-year forward basis, I estimate that both TCL and SYD are presently trading, roughly, at a 19.0-19.5x EV/EBITDA multiple.

    Given that, on a constant-asset basis, the revenue growth prospects for the two enterprises are similar (as they essentially consist of traffic growth compounded by CPI inflation), I do not see any obvious relative value between the two, from a pure valuation perspective and at their current prices.

    That said, I do have an overall preference for TCL’s business model, for (among other things) the reasons listed here: https://hotcopper.com.au/posts/32523823/single

    So, if I had to pick one as of today, that would be TCL.

    But, again, that’s just me.
 
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