Greens? way too high imo JC... but Vic is certainly swinging away from the duopoly so why not.
teals and other "free" independents will make the most inroads and take seats imo, but then I'm not very aware of the Vic electorate dynamics.
what I was asking though is the origin of that expectation of the seat results - very specific. Did you do the analysis or did it come from from a political analyst? is there a link to your source?
so you think Andrews is not popular? yes it does often come down to the less objectionable candidate rather than the best candidate as for decades people have voted for the duopoly. this coming Vic and NSW elections will follow the federal election pattern and I'm hoping Labs will lose as many seats as the Libs.
it'll be a good job to see the Libs take a backseat to the Nats as they new senior partner in the coalition.
