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In Taylor's DCF they assigned a 15% success rate to both trials...

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    In Taylor's DCF they assigned a 15% success rate to both trials which is very low. If you start to adjust this upwards to 25%, 50%, 75% etc you get a very different valuation! Assigning a 100% success rate would result in a portfolio total of around $500m! ($77m / 15% x 100%). Someone please check my figures.

    Here's the relevant part of Taylor's report:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1873/1873504-8ffb9c4c04b084efaf65c4924eaa596b.jpg

 
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