AJX 0.00% 1.1¢ alexium international group limited

Hindsight, page-222

  1. dej
    409 Posts.
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    Lets do some calcualtions:
    Bought: 13,000,000 @ 65c = 8,450,000 AUD
    Sell: 13,000,000 @ 60c average = 7,800,000 AUD
    Loss: 650,000 AUD

    That loss bought them:
    6 warrants per 10 shares = 13,000,000 x (6/10) = 7,800,000 warrants exercisable at 75c.

    To cover their loss they need the share price to go to:

    (X - 0.75) x 7,800,000 = 650,000 [or X = (650,000/7,800,000) + 0.75]
    X = 83 c

    So basically, they think its either going to be a $1 at some point in the next 3 years (now 3 years is a stupid amount of time, but lets not dwell on that) or they will take a loss of...

    (650,000/8,450,000) x 100 = 7.6%

    on their initial 8,450,000 AUD investment.

    Now I dont know about you, but if someone came a long to me and said "Hey, pay me 7.6% of your total investment in AJX and I will give you a completely derisked 60% of that investment which you can wait for the whole expansion period of the company before deciding if you take it or not" I would probably take it.

    Cant blame them. Money speaks and money rules in this game we play.
    Last edited by dej: 28/05/15
 
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